After an especially punishing semi-final last evening, there was only one word on the lips of we massed ranks of punterdom as we shuffled from the Malmo Arena…
“Armenia?”
Of course, we don’t begrudge them their berth in the final, cos they are, for the most part, lovely chaps. But it was still a bit of a surprise that their plod rocker bested some of our faves on the night. Our happiest success though was the qualification of Hungary, who’s lovely understated performance evoked a feeling of genuine love in the hall. It’s never a winner, but it’s building up a head of steam that could see it finishing higher than anyone expected a fortnight ago.
The draw for the running order was made public at 2:30am, and instantly the betting went berserk, with everyone trying to second guess who’s going to beat Denmark – who are now odds on with every bookie, but still lack a soul. The way the songs pan out is very interesting, starting pretty slow, but building to a proper peak, with a lot of the fancied mounts crowding the last few performance slots. We just sat through the first full run through of all the songs in order, so here’s how they look all glued together in show shaped form.
France
A surprise opener, perhaps, but we fancy Swedish telly are going for something a bit credible to kick the show off. And boy does she pace about the stage like a dirty mare! A nice one to start with, but probably little top ten potential.
Lithuania
The fabled draw of doom has never even come close to winning this show, so the Liths must have been pretty choked to have been plugged in here. Still, it was never going to be a winner, and his innocent charm counterpoints the French gal’s strut rather nicely, so this position might actually help him up the table a tad.
Moldova
The first big ballad of the night, her expanding frock will garner the first big gasp of the evening. She sings it so incredibly well that this might be a decent outside punt for a top ten.
Finland
While the second half is crammed with bombast, the early stages of the night are a fairly staid affair. That’s why this wedding-flavoured fare is going to stand out like a beacon of joy among the drear. Possibly the best place it could have possibly been drawn. Keep a crafty eye on this one.
Spain
Sweet, anonymous, last.
Belgium
Do you know what, we’ve got a sneaking feeling that this could cause a few surprises. He may look like a rabbit in the headlights, but the song is strong, and he may come top of the pretty boy pile.
Estonia
An incredibly pretty girl singing an incredibly pretty song. But it’s surrounded by similarly gentle tunes – so will it stand out? Not sure.
Belarus
She’s looking less frightened as she totters out of her glitterball, but this is still feeling like a mid-table performer. Might draw in the party time crowd, but could struggle for a top half finish in this company.
Malta
Still well down the betting, there’s something totally believable about this cheery chappy, and if it’s a sunny day across Europe he could do some good business on the left hand side of the scoreboard – and there would never be a more popular winner!
Russia
A well-performed ballad with a massive ending, it’s plugged between two big dance numbers so will stand out a treat. No one much is talking about it, so even though she has a secret backing singer hiding behind the scenery, she could sneak through the middle of all that noisy business and surprise us all.
Germany
She’s been struggling with the big notes for a couple of days now, but she still knows how to play to a big crowd. Our only fear here is that the juries may go all snobby on a big beat dance number form someone who’s had hits.
Armenia
Last night’s surprise qualifier got resoundingly booed when it was pulled out of the golden envelope (probably because it wasn’t San Marino), but it’s the only song of its kind left in the contest, so could appeal to the trendy rock mums as well as the more serious minded jury members. Still expecting a bottom half finish for it, though.
The Netherlands
Can’t call this one. Dark, complicated, minor-keyed ballad sung by a seasoned pro. It tingled our spine, but may not translate to the folks back home. Just bait for sure, though.
Romania
Don’t underestimate the power of Cezar. The place was buzzing for minutes after his performance last night, and the love for him amongst the man in the street is surprisingly huge. The apparent experts hate it, but the folks back home will be lured by his falsetto charms. Tricky.
UK
It’s looking surprisingly good, considering the song’s a bit dull. And following the popera insanity of Cezar could count in Bonnie’s favour among the more conservative viewers. She’s also incredibly popular out this way, and gains the biggest reaction out of anyone who isn’t Scandi, so we might just be surprised by her finishing slot. Is that a good thing?
Sweden
Big, noisy, and with no chance of winning – just what you want from a home entry. And the contest has never been won by a song that’s performed in sixteenth place, so I think Sweden is safe for at least another year.
Hungary
Like we said earlier, this is riding on a big sea of love. The atmosphere in the hall for him last night was bristling. It couldn’t, could it?
Denmark
A strong favourite, but we still can’t find a single person who isn’t Danish who wants it to win. Ticks all the right boxes, but lacks heart. Winner? Hmm…
Iceland
Coming up strong on the rails is this gem of a ballad. You hang on his every word, even though it is in a strange ancient tongue. It’s surrounded by form horses, but still stands proud among them.
Azerbaijan
Looks great, but we’re starting to think it’s maybe a little contrived – especially after the simple power of Iceland.
Greece
A fun time party tune right near the end? Danger danger! And with all the big Balkans players out, this could tweak some south east Europe voting muscles big time.
Ukraine
Still looking cluttered, it remains high in the betting, but gets a little lost among all the strong songs that surround it.
Italy
The beard’s gone, and he’s polished up back into full on spiv mode. Your nans will melt when he looks straight into the camera with his big dreamy eyes. Could come absolutely anywhere on the scoreboard.
Norway
A lot of the love is draining away for this, and in a heavily packed last few songs, it could also get watered down by all the heavy hitters that surround it. Love it, fear for it.
Georgia
The problem with this boy/girl ballad is that they’re just not sexy enough. Not the bolted on top ballad that everyone expects.
Ireland
On paper it’s a plumb draw for the wee fella – although no song has won from the last slot since 1989 – and it’s never happened when there’s been this many songs in the tournament. A fine, high energy way to polish off the show, though.
So there you have it. Does the draw have any bearing on the eventual result? That remains to be established. but one thing is for certain – this is possibly one of the best paced finals in years, and despite Denmark’s hot favourite status, there’s a good half dozen songs at least who could nip it off them at the last minute.
We bloody love Eurovision!